Peak commodities - ignore and do without.
While we may disagree on the peak and depletion timelines of oil, phosphate/NPK fertilizers, gold, and rare earth elements, etc., but the finite nature of their existence on this planet is an absolutely indisputable fact. Nations are going to have to look at peak commodities not just as a trade strategy, but as a survival strategy. The sooner we acknowledge the inevitable nature and reality of peak commodities, the sooner we will have some kind of national security that we won't be manipulated and stranded by the lack of them in the near future - as we have by peak oil in the middle east.
Did I mention that 85% of the worlds supply of rock phosphates (the most critical ingredient in NPK fertilizer that feeds 95% of the world) are in Morocco and Western Sahara? This is a serious problem that by-enlarge our scientifically illiterate population and their reflected leadership are clueless about.