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Read the fine print
Edited by zackers
Updated - 17th Mar 2012
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Sea level increase measurements - wishful thinking.
Posted by dduggerbiocepts
21st Mar 2012
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Waterfront property!
So WOW! It looks like that Disney timeshare I purchased in Florida will become waterfront property in 100 years! What a great investment I made!
Posted by tech_ed@...
16th Mar 2012
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Read the fine print
In case anybody thinks the sea level rise is all due to global warming, the fine print on the map says that it shows where "local sea level rise projections were combined with storm surge and tidal statistics to estimate the decade by when there is an at least 1 in 6 chance of different water levels occurring, at least once." (see http://sealevel.climatecentral.org/maps/about-surging-seas-map/ ). This is a pretty low bar, and storm surge will be much more of a factor than increases from global warming. Of course, nobody really knows how much global warming will cause the sea level to rise in the future, nor the strength of future storms. It's all a computer model somewhere.
Ms. Eveleth does the Smartplanet community a disservice by not pointing out these facts behind the study in her article.
Ms. Eveleth does the Smartplanet community a disservice by not pointing out these facts behind the study in her article.
Posted by zackers
Updated - 17th Mar 2012
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Great point.
Portland ME- - Over 1 in 6 chance sea level rise + storm surge + tide will overtop -
I can tell you on any given day for the last 40 years a storm surge has a better than 1 in 6 chance of coming over the average New England seawall.
The storms are called Northeasters for a reason. Storms frequently get up into the Gulf of Maine and sit there pounding a northeast wind into the coast.
Combine that with a lunar high tide and a big storm surge is coming.
I can tell you on any given day for the last 40 years a storm surge has a better than 1 in 6 chance of coming over the average New England seawall.
The storms are called Northeasters for a reason. Storms frequently get up into the Gulf of Maine and sit there pounding a northeast wind into the coast.
Combine that with a lunar high tide and a big storm surge is coming.
Posted by Hates Idiots
17th Mar 2012
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Sea level increase measurements - wishful thinking.
According to the best estimates sea level is rising 2mm per year - that's less than 10 inches per century. Sea level may be rising, but really how good are those estimates? There is actually a huge credibility gap in our ability to measure 2 mm per year changes in sea level - when terrestrial tides can change the earths surface 55 mm in some places every 12 hours. Now consider that those changes are not necessarily predictable because of changes in earths crust rebound characteristics, magma flows beneath and magnetic field changes - which make the changes in the earths crust rather erratic on a 2 mm scale. You might also remember that our GPS satellite technology with this kind of precision is a relatively new ability - so scientist have next to no historic measurements with this kind of accuracy to compare their current measurements. Computers can only give answers as accurate as the information they receive.
Ahhh, the power of money in the form of big gov. and NGO grants to shape scientific "facts." http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Earth_tide
Ahhh, the power of money in the form of big gov. and NGO grants to shape scientific "facts." http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Earth_tide
Posted by dduggerbiocepts
21st Mar 2012