RE: The U.S. in 2050: Bigger, younger, less white, less urban
Demographics are numbers, but as in this case can be interpreted in many ways. First of all the US birthrate is at 1.68. That is below replacement level. FACT check it out. Combine this with illegal immegration and we are at 2.1. Just barely replacement level. The population is increasing though. Why? We are living longer. I do not know how this will play out in 2050 and NO ONE does. A lot can happen in 40 years. On the other hand, we can know that those who are no longer producing are not ofset by those who are producing in the present and into the future by at least one generation. This cannot be changed by politics or any other means available to us. These demographics are not reversable. We cannot create a generation of producing citizens out of thin air. This aspect is not even glanced at in the authors projections.
" if you stopped immigration and if you had a 30-year recession. But I don?t think we?ll have a 30-year recession, and I don?t think immigration will end."
A lot can happen in 40 years, but a lot has happened in the last 40 years that has placed us in the demographic crisis that is upon us.
We do not have an overpopulation problem, we have a demographic problem and it will affect us all over the next 40 years or until we are that mound of dirt in front of a stone.
