What about the water impact?
Extraction of unconventional oil and fracking for NGL consumes a lot of fresh water, which is scarce in Utah. And once the water has been contaminated, the best available technology (according to the producers) is to dump it into toxic sludge ponds. Look at what happened to Alberta from oilsands extraction -- that will not be tolerated, especially where the end result is to ship the oil or refined products overseas. The water-energy nexus is being ignored in these EIA projections, and it will be a major constraint on production.