This is David Hughes from 2006
http://www.theoildrum.com/story/2006/11/8/6636/36918What do you mean when you say "unconventional sources only serving to slow the rate of decline".
In your world, does a dramatic uptick in overall production represent a decline? I would think a decline means a decrease, not an increase?
I think the problem here is that your words just mean something totally different than what everyone else thinks they mean. Please help decode them for us. Up is down, and down is up... is that right? Because if so, then your presentation from 2006 would make perfect sense.
Otherwise, quetzal22 appears correct, and you have been as thoroughly debunked as Mr. Nelder (of the "undulating plateau since 2009" infamy).
I understand that predictions are hard, especially about the future. But I think when one's predictions (or, in the case of Mr. Nelder, one's reporting of basic facts) turns out to be completely off-base, a little humility is in order.
So how about it? It's not hard, just admit to making a mistake (in your case a very, very big one). Can you do it? Can you?
As an aside - I was in attendance at your talk in 2006. The post here doesn't do you justice. Your predictions of doom and gloom were in full blossom. I believe the outcomes you discussed ranged from natural gas rationing to a full shut down of the American electrical grid. Instead we have natural gas in storage almost exceeding capacity, and the largest switch from coal to gas in history.
It is funny that you seem to not have the slightest shame for your preposterous predictions, and still pass yourself off as an energy expert.
