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Did HP just ruin the tech recovery?

By | August 19, 2009, 7:24 AM PDT

No.

The tech economy is changing. HP got caught in the crosswind, and it says it’s already doing something about it.

Look what happened closely. The top line says PC sales slowed.But unit sales were up 2%, in line with the idea of a slow recovery.

The problem is my HP Mini cost me less than $300, half what a true notebook (or even a desktop, with the screen and chassis integrated) would go for.

The other problem? Ink sales are down. People are printing less. They’re outputting to computer files or the Internet, not to paper.

This is good news for the planet. It also means business cares more about efficiency and is willing to forego the comfort factor of a paper report for some PDF files that everyone can look at on a laptop.

Look closely at what the company actually reported, not just the press spin on this. Results were around the mid-point of previous estimates. Its competitive position is improved. Service revenues nearly doubled (thanks to EDS), results in China grew double-digits, and revenues in the Americas actually grew 8%.

CEO Mark Hurd (above) is being cautious. HP is not calling Windows 7 the greatest thing since sliced cheese. Hooray.

In contrast to the last recession HP is delivering on earnings. It may sell some outsourcing businesses and concentrate more on EDS, where margins are healthier. There is no drama, no finger-pointing, no rush to buy a competitor thinking consolidation will force customers to pay monopoly rents.

If Hurd were running for Senate this cycle maybe Barbara Boxer would have something to worry about. For now the only way to vote for Hurd is through your broker.

The news here is that HP is back. It is stable, it can adjust to change, it has strong cash flow, there is no reason for drama here.

If you want to see the tech recovery ruined you need to look elsewhere.

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Dana Blankenhorn

About Dana Blankenhorn

Dana Blankenhorn was a contributing editor for SmartPlanet from 2009 to 2010.

Dana Blankenhorn

Dana Blankenhorn

Contributing Editor

Dana Blankenhorn has written for the Chicago Tribune, Advertising Age's "NetMarketing" supplement and founded the Interactive Age Daily for CMP Media. He holds degrees from Rice and Northwestern universities. He is based in Atlanta.

Follow him on Twitter.

Dana Blankenhorn

Dana Blankenhorn

Dana Blankenhorn has been a technology reporter since 1982, a business reporter since 1978, and a writer for as long as he can remember. His Schwab IRA has a few tech stocks in it, most notably some Intel and Applied Materials bought over 10 years ago. But the vast majority of his tiny fortune (emphasis on the word tiny) is invested in mutual funds. He presently writes for no one else but ZDNet, SmartPlanet and himself. But if you've got an opportunity let him know. If he takes the gig he"ll first add it to this disclosure page.

He writes for SmartPlanet and is not an employee of CBS.

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