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Why the 21st century will be dominated by the city

By | August 25, 2010, 8:46 AM PDT

The 21st century will be dominated by a superpower, but not the one you think.

The future is in the city.

That’s according to Parag Khanna, who writes in Foreign Policy that the city will usurp the state — that is, the nation — as the “island of governance on which the future world order will be built.”

Khanna, the director of the Global Governance Initiative and a research fellow at the New America Foundation, writes that cities are the “engines of globalization” thanks to plenty of money, knowledge and stability. Citing the statistic that only 100 cities account for 30 percent of the world’s economy — “and almost all its innovation” — Khanna writes that the global village concept is dead, replaced by a network of global cities.

These cities and megacities come at a political price, however.

Khanna writes:

Though no nation can succeed without at least one thriving urban anchor — and even then, a functioning Kabul or Sarajevo is still no guarantee of national survival — it’s also true that globalization allows major cities to pull away from their home states, a reality captured by the massive and potentially dangerous wealth gap between city and countryside in second-world countries such as Brazil, China, India, and Turkey.  Now Neither 19th-century balance-of-power politics nor 20th-century power blocs are useful in understanding this new world. Instead, we have to look back nearly a thousand years, to the medieval age in which cities such as Cairo and Hangzhou were the centers of global gravity, expanding their influence confidently outward in a borderless world.

Western cities have dominated since the Industrial Revolution, Khanna writes — New York and London together represent 40 percent of global market capitalization today, he notes — but now the trend is toward regionalism: keeping the money within an area, rather than spreading it around the globe.

Khanna cites an Asia-Pacific group that’s investing in itself: Hong Kong, Seoul, Shanghai, Sydney, and Tokyo. (One could also extrapolate that concept to the U.S. Northeast Corridor — Boston, New York, Philadelphia, Baltimore, Washington. Or perhaps London-Paris-Berlin.) He also suggests the same is happening in the Middle East, calling cities like Dubai the “Venices of the 21st century.”

Yet Khanna also admits that “cities are spreading like a cancer on the planet’s body,” many such as Caracas or Karachi or Mumbai with the population but not the planning.

The bottom line? Megacities and global hubs “force us to rethink whether state sovereignty or economic might is the new prerequisite for participating in global diplomacy.” Or in other words: controlling a city is controlling a country.

Cities: both virus and antibody, Khanna writes. What do you think?

If you’re interested in more reading, Khanna cites the following work in his essay:

Photo: Seoul, South Korea. (Rachel Yoonyoung Choi)

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Andrew Nusca

About Andrew Nusca

Andrew Nusca is editor of SmartPlanet.

Andrew Nusca

Andrew Nusca

Editor

Andrew Nusca is editor of SmartPlanet and an associate editor for ZDNet. Previously, he worked at Money, Men's Vogue and Popular Mechanics magazines. He holds degrees from the Columbia University Graduate School of Journalism and New York University. He based in New York but resides in Philadelphia.

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Andrew Nusca

Andrew Nusca
Andrew Nusca does not hold any investments in the companies he covers.
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Back to the Future
Was this not the prevalent political/economic structure of the
western world after the fall of Rome? Could it be that history is
repeating?

It also sounds a lot more like what the founding fathers envisioned
than the direction we seem to be going now.
Posted by JohnMcGrew@...
25th Aug 2010
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RE: Why the 21st century will be dominated by the city
I sure hope this is not true! I hate cities and urban centers...the noise, the filth, the oppressive feel of the throng of people is stifling! Give me the suburbs any day over *ANY* city! I'ld rather drive 5 miles to get my groceries than live with the human squalor of living in a city!
Posted by tech_ed@...
25th Aug 2010
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RE: Why the 21st century will be dominated by the city
Its reality, like it or not but not necessary the truth of living
better. The city is illusive and hypnotic. If you fall for it, you are
in for a trip to either hell on the streets or heaven in the
penthouses-never paradise because you still breath, drink and
eat its pollution.

It is the epitome of extreme artificial living, completely out of
sync with nature. The city is a result of market economy where
one lives and die for. Not unlike the 'Metropolis', it consumes
and produces for itself, with itself and of itself, depleting the
natural states around it.
Posted by jyanzikong
25th Aug 2010
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RE: Why the 21st century will be dominated by the city
There is an alternative to cities, suburbs and rural living, and that's small town America. As someone who's resided in all types of living arrangements, I have to say that small towns have it over both cities and suburbs.

Our town (pop. ~ 3600) is economically viable, unlike all the big cities and suburban areas. There's much less crime because everyone knows everyone else's business. It's a cleaner environment with better schools and friendlier people. A small town has all the benefits of urban/suburban living without any of the detriments.

I think that all the factors that originally led to big urban environments developing have been mitigated by modern technology.

The mega city has seen its day, at least with respect to life here in the U.S. The third world might be a different story.

If we could only get a handle on our population growth, we could set about to make the planet a much better place.
Posted by omb00900@...
27th Aug 2010
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