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What’s next for the manned space program?

By | March 11, 2010, 1:11 PM PST

In February, President Barack Obama effectively canceled NASA’s manned space program, shifting development and operation to the private sector.

So what’s the next step for bringing man back to the moon?

The American Natural History Museum plans to assemble a panel of experts to find out. In this year’s Isaac Asimov Memorial Debate, experts will discuss whether NASA should return to the Moon or if it should proceed straight to Mars — along with the science, hardware, policy, security and fiscal issues associated with such a decision.

The panel includes:

  • Kenneth Ford, founder and CEO of the Institute for Human & Machine Cognition
  • Lester Lyles of the United States Air Force (Ret)
  • Paul Spudis of the Lunar and Planetary Institute
  • Steven Squyres of Cornell University
  • Robert Zubrin of the Mars Society

The sold-out debate takes place on March 15, moderated by Hayden Planetarium director Neil deGrasse Tyson.

Here’s a preview:

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Andrew Nusca

About Andrew Nusca

Andrew Nusca is editor of SmartPlanet.

Andrew Nusca

Andrew Nusca

Editor

Andrew Nusca is editor of SmartPlanet and an associate editor for ZDNet. Previously, he worked at Money, Men's Vogue and Popular Mechanics magazines. He holds degrees from the Columbia University Graduate School of Journalism and New York University. He based in New York but resides in Philadelphia.

Follow him on Twitter.

Andrew Nusca

Andrew Nusca
Andrew Nusca does not hold any investments in the companies he covers.
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RE: What's next for the manned space program?
We still have a manned space program - you'll just have to hitch a ride with the Soviets or wait for SpaceX or some other private entity to step in. But that will only get you to LEO, and spend all your waking hours dodging space junk. Your sleeping hours won't be much better, because you'll be on the stinking ISS.

Better to spend our resources cleaning up LEO, and shooting for L5 or something as interesting.
Posted by jackgrat
12th Mar 2010
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RE: What's next for the manned space program?
Wonder why NASA Director Mike Griffin had the shouting match with the Transition Team in January '09? This was the plan all along and they said he had to help. Wonder why it took so long to find someone to replace the Director? No one else wanted the job of quisling.

Even Elon Musk testified to the Augustine Commission that no one can do what NASA does.

And now, Congress is asking hard questions to the companies and organizations avoided by Augustine. The price tag of this betrayal will raise launch prices of the surviving programs.
Posted by Kansan52
16th Mar 2010
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RE: What's next for the manned space program?
The main thrust of our space program should be making a permanent moon base. The money could come from the military industrial complex. We would just have to convince the armed forces that there is a greater threat to American lives from an asteriod than from any earth bound threat. Then we could have them pay for Nasa's help in creating a permanent Moon base which would be the perfect place to launch interplanetary vechicles from. The Armed forces could work on creating a vehecle which would be designed to meet an asteroid out in space and to attach a small rocket based steering system to the object. The moon is the perfect place to have Nasa work on Interplanetary travel from because we wouldn't have to fight earth's gravity with every launch.
Posted by RobZantay@...
16th Mar 2010
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I still think we need to build a base on the moon first.
I may be kind of biased because my brother was an electrical engineer at the Lockheed Martin plant in Denver building the Orion space capsule. I did not think the Constellation program was 100% the correct way to go. But it was far better than what we have now and that is nothing at all. And as we built a moon base we would have had time to work and test on the plasma ion rocket engine that could get us to mars from the moon in just over a months time instead of the chemical rockets we use today that take 6 to 7 months to reach the planet when it is closest to earth every 2.15 years.

My big fear is that why the moon return was axed was so china would keep financing our overspending habits, all in return for china betting us back to the moon and getting to claim their desire to become the new middle east in the energy department. This because they would have access to the Tritium )hydrogen 3) and Helium 4 resting on the moons surface that has been created over the last 4 billion years as the sun radiated the unprotected lunar surface.

If you do not know by now our next energy source is not going to be solar, natural gas, or bio recycling, they can make energy but only provide energy to feed a society of the 1950's era America and for one branch only during a sunny clear day and not night. Fusion will be the next oil for power. It will take time to make fusion power plants to power our cars that may one day fly, but until then Lithium Hydrate can replace the fuel and can be found in space. There is even a moon around Jupiter that is mostly this frozen methane gas. And since the Ecco people dislike us digging for materials on earth we can then start mining the near earth asteroids for the metals we need to build space ships.

This may be a dream of our next century in space but if we stay on earth asteroid that got the dinosaurs will have even a bigger x marks the spot to aim for on the planet earth. And if that rock does not get us first the aspect of mammalian life will get us. If mammals do not have the freedom to find free space to concur and rule all of humanity as mammals will become infected with a form of Rabies. The first signs of it are starting to show in the fact that we are terrorized by terrorist. And what is it they desire, that is to concur us into there submission and rule over us and our lost freedoms,

I know I have not said what will be our next manned space mission, but I have stated ideas as to why we need Men in Space, and hopefully a desire to have that will inspire many to create ways to get there.
Be it men riding a rocket into space or a airplane flying from an airport into the stars up there. We do not need a leader removing existing systems to get into space just so his name will be on the future of Americans in space. To me that is child like if the was a real man he would have left the old system and create a bigger and better system to work better than the old system and let efficiency erase what goods that system gave America.
Posted by DHOLYER@...
16th Mar 2010
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RE: What's next for the manned space program?
The recent discovery of what could possibly turn out to be trillions of metric tonnes of water on the Moon may be creating the next big "rush" to grab that valuable resource.

On Earth, we take for granted the abundance of water. But, in space, water is the most valuable resource of all and, so far, all of the water we've used in space has had to be transported from the Earth at an enormous expense. That's why all water is recycled on the Space Station---it's more valuable than Gold by far.

If you didn't know, water can be broken down into its constituent elements, hydrogen and oxygen, and used to fuel rockets. Having an accessible source of rocket fuel in space means that access to all the other resources in the solar system is made considerably easier.

For instance, whomever builds a facility on the Moon which can transform the water resources there into rocket fuel will mean that a lunar lander can refuel on the surface of the Moon. Rockets which need to go to Mars or other destinations in the solar system will be able to be refueled at this lunar "filling station", making it much cheaper than hauling all that rocket fuel up from Earth's gravity well.

Of more immediate importance, we have a very valuable set of satellites in orbit around the Earth. Currently, servicing those satellites is far too expensive because of the energy it takes to lift equipment and personnel out of Earth's powerful gravity "well". Our economy, however, has become dependent upon these satellite resources and would be severely damaged were those resources to be threatened. Moreover, there is evidence that the Chinese have developed a network of space-based anti-satellite weapons which threaten our satellite resources. With our military forces heavily-dependent upon its network of military satellites, that becomes our Achilles Heel. A Moon-based "service center" could both service our current inventory of satellites as well as to provide our military with the ability to quickly launch replacements to restore service should a space war break out which damages our existing network. Thus, a Moon base provides the ability to recover quickly from a hostile strike against our military and economy.

And, in the long run, having a manned position on the high ground of the Moon means that any nation wishing to attack us from the Moon will have a very hard time establishing that position and defending it should they launch an attack. If we abandon the idea of having a manned presence on the Moon, we are leaving ourselves open to that kind of attack, which would be impossible to defend ourselves from. It would be very difficult to launch a defensive strike against an enemy base located on the lunar surface from the surface of the Earth, while a manned lunar base would have a much better location from which to launch such a counterattack.

This discovery of massive water resources on the Moon, which has been made only in the last year, means that the cancellation of the return to the Moon mission by NASA was a very big mistake on the part of President Obama. If the US doesn't go back to the Moon to establish a permanent base, it's certain that other nations will recognize the strategic advantage of the Moon and will proceed to be the first to "take" the Moon. China, India, Russia and Japan are not likely to sit idly by and will take control of what is likely to be the most valuable franchise of the 21st century---the Waters of the Moon.

The next time you're outside, look up at the Moon. How would you feel knowing that we have a manned base on the Moon, strengthening our security right here on Earth? And, then, imagine how you would feel if it were China who had established that permanent manned base on the Moon instead?
Posted by marketclues
23rd Mar 2010
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