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Study: Americans scrapped more autos than they bought in 2009; Is this a trend?

By | January 6, 2010, 9:07 AM PST

The United States scrapped 14 million autos while buying only 10 million, according to a study by the Earth Policy Institute.

As a result, the country’s car fleet fell to 246 million in 2009 from a record high of 250 million in 2008. Lester Brown, president of the EPI, in a statement acknowledges that the recession is one big reason for the 2 percent auto fleet decline, but also argues that rising gas prices, urbanization, concerns about climate change and declining interest in cars are also forces cutting the car fleet in the U.S.

Brown’s argument: Car usage in the U.S. is entering a period of long-term decline due to an increasingly urban population. Teenagers, Brown argues, socialize via the Internet and smartphones. Who needs to drive these days?

Brown makes interesting points, but it’s a bit of a leap to say Americans are suddenly ditching their cars over gas prices, declining interest and the other factors he states.

Why? The Cash for Clunkers program may have skewed the scrap results for 2009.

However, Brown’s also notes that the car market is saturated with five cars for every four drivers. In any case, Brown in a statement makes it sound like the auto is going the way of the Dodo bird. Far more interesting is just to roll the data from the EPI. Here a look at the EPI data underlying its report:

Do you believe the argument that Americans are losing interest in cars?

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Larry Dignan

About Larry Dignan

Larry Dignan is editor-in-chief of SmartPlanet.

Larry Dignan

Larry Dignan

Editor-in-Chief

Larry Dignan is editor-in-chief of SmartPlanet and ZDNet. He is also editorial director of TechRepublic. Previously, he was an editor at eWeek, Baseline and CNET News. He has written for WallStreetWeek.com, Inter@ctive Week, New York Times and Financial Planning. He holds degrees from the Columbia University Graduate School of Journalism and the University of Delaware. He is based in New York but resides in Pennsylvania.

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Larry Dignan

Larry Dignan
Larry Dignan does not hold any investments in the companies he covers.
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+1 Vote
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RE: Study: Americans scrapped more autos than they bought in 2009; Is this a trend?
Given that the auto industry is being squeezed ever harder on safety as well as fuel economy, I'd like to know if this alleged decline of interest in cars by adolescents, is having a favorable (i.e. downward) effect on teen deaths and injuries in auto accidents. If so, this would certainly be good news.
Posted by AlexKovnat
12th Jan 2010
+1 Vote
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Wasting Recources & Polluting For Making Eventual Junk, Need Mass Transport
This should have been a retooled industry. Now the vehicles get
more complex like miniature offices or mobile rooms but the industry
basis is still flawed because it needs new buyers. Meanwhile more
emissions, waste, and pollution is caused during the vehicle
lifecycles as well as land wasted for roads and junkyards.
The inflexibility is only conserved by the industrialists that have
political connections and enabled by socialist practices that
burdens the rest of society. Obviously, among other factors, the
surplus and demand are telling how unsustainable the automobile
industry has become.
There are more things that divert attention from driving and it
affects the really important safety factor required of the operator.
I don't think a so-called driverless vehicle will ever be
implemented that can overcome the hazards or exceed the best mass
transportation measures.
That should be the emphasis and fallback but the consumer culture
emphasizing individuality is really just catering to corporate
marketing. People need to get real about their values to understand
their influences. Meanwhile planning has to look forward &
implement advanced mass transportation that provides connectivity.
Posted by donnydo77@...
15th Jan 2010
+1 Vote
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RE: Study: Americans scrapped more autos than they bought in 2009; Is this a trend?
So donnydo77, do you get groceries and other essentials delivered. You must live in an urban area. If you live in fly-over country, you either own a vehicle or horse. Either way, you will impact the environment. Personal transportation is the single biggest factor for America's affluence and freedom. If you like cramming you, your family, and the groceries into a bus, subway, or taxi, have fun!
Posted by lloyd.frazier@...
19th Jan 2010
+1 Vote
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Late in the Discussion
I don't know, Lloyd. I think the whole, "automobile being the factor that liberated the masses and brought economic freedom..." argument is kind of over-stated and over-rated.
Posted by citizen477
18th May
+1 Vote
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What Is & What Could Be; Differentiating Necessity & Commercal Influence
Mr Frazier, I'm not suggesting that having a vehicle is a bad thing
but it is the lifecycle of a vehicle and over surplus that create
problems for the waste of resources and economic sustainability of
the "transportation" industry. You can't really assert that
personal transportation, implying motor vehicles and mobility, is
the biggest factor in affluence and freedom because it is actually
the reverse don't you think? Believe me, I realize the impacts as I
have a professional interest in the analysis and improvement of
such.
Also, more emphasis could be made on other means for transportation
at both the personal and municipal planning levels. Like I
indicated, the problems of connectivity could be solved with the
appropriate planning and retooling the industry to undertake the
cause. Sure, there are connectivity and personal difficulties when
people decide to live on the outskirts of urban centers, locate
further out into unincorporated areas, a bit to far away from the
places that have things they need to get or the places they want to
go. I hope that planning and alternatives could be developed for
those issues.
However, necessity is different than the commercial influences on
personal values urging people to get something they don't really
need. The automotive industry, among other corporate influences on
culture and politics, has an extraordinary hold on personal beliefs
and society. They use effective advertising that appeal to
fantasies and enforce the illusion that personal characterization is
associated by what material things people own. Hope that you see I
can understand what you go through and see the difference. happy
Posted by donnydo77@...
22nd Jan 2010
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