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Earthquake could threaten California’s water supply

By | April 22, 2011, 5:24 AM PDT

Water from the Sacramento River is pulled through the Delta to pumps that deliver water to California residents. Most of the water, though, is used to satisfy agricultural needs.

All of this exported water disrupts the natural water flow through the region. However, now with sea level rising and increased and improved seismic risk assessment - the aging infrastructure in the Delta might be putting the water supply of 23 million Californians in jeopardy.

While the Sacramento-San Joaquin Delta has been there for thousands of years, building levees has changed the area’s pristine marshland into farmland.

The Delta is the hub of the water for two-thirds of California’s population and supplies water for up to three million acres of farmland. The area is a habitat for 500 species and is home to more than 400,000 people. Highways, pipelines, power distribution, railroads and deep water ports go through the Delta.

To understand what’s going on in the region, take a look at Sherman Island.

The man-made island is an infrastructure choke point with six highways, three railroads, major transmission lines and gas lines and telecommunication towers that run through. However, Sherman Island has evolved quite a bit in the past century: In 1869, Chinese laborers built levees that were 4 feet high and 12 feet at the base on Sherman Island. This was the first evidence that large-scale reclamation was underway – forever changing the landscape of the Delta.

It didn’t not take long before the island flooded. By the end of the 1870s, hand labor was replaced by steam-powered dredges. During World War 1, more levees were built.

Today, the Delta takes up more than 700,000 acres, with 1,115 miles of levees to separate the salt water from the fresh water. In June 2004, two Jones Tracts collapsed and nearby farmland was flooded. And in 1980, the tracts flooded again.

The levees are aging - some are now a century old. Robert Bea, a professor at the University of California at Berkeley, heads the Resilient and Sustainable Infrastructure (RESIN), a research center set up to deal with the Delta crisis.

“The situation is extremely serious. All of our analyses, and those done before, clearly indicate the California Delta infrastructure systems do not meet guidelines for acceptable public performance for extreme storm and earthquake conditions,” says Bea.

An earthquake in California could trigger a disaster as big as Hurricane Katrina. “The problems we see in the Delta are the same ones we saw in New Orleans,” Bea previously said in a statement to UC at Berkeley.

The U.S. Geological Survey reported a 99 percent probability that an earthquake with a magnitude of 6.7 would strike the Bay Area in the next 30 years. If a magnitude 7.8 earthquake from the San Andreas Fault hit the region, the disaster could induce liquefaction by turning sand into quicksand and causing the levees to sink. As it turns out, liquefaction occurred during the recent Japan earthquake, which has caused more long-term damage. In the event that levees fail, billions of gallons of salt water would flood the islands and flow into the Delta within days.

“The effect on the water supply is a key consequence of significant failures of the levees - flood protection systems in the California Delta. The studies indicate that the fresh water supplies for the state would be disrupted for a period exceeding five years given a large earthquake in the area,” Bea says. Such a scenario would threaten the supply of California’s emergency water storage capacity.

It could have a domino effect on California’s economy. “I truly believe the main issue is the vulnerability of the levees to even a moderate earthquake say 4.5, centered near the Delta. Also, over-pumping of ground water in the San Joaquin Valley is causing the California Aqueduct to sink. An earthquake could cause its catastrophic failure. Either situation would cause southern California to lose 80 percent of its supply,” says John Barbieri, founder of Natural Resources Corporation.

It’s not all that rare for levees to fail: 160 Delta levees have failed in the past century, according to the California Department of Water Resources. Seven of those have occurred on Sherman Island.

So, how much water can we take from the delta, and have it still be considered healthy? Farming is the major allocation and urban areas are second. We must ask: What kinds of sustainable water allocations we can have for the Delta? There are a few factors to consider: high water flows, sea level is rising, aging levees and the introduction of non-native plants and animals. And lastly, changing weather patterns: There has been more rain and less snow.

Cliff Dahm, a lead scientist for the Bay-Delta science program, says the delta plan is being written this year and will be released in January of next year. There’s only a finite amount of money. Upgrading thousands of miles of levees will cost billions of dollars.

“We need to figure out where money is best spent. Clearly protecting human life and protecting property is important in that decision making,” Dahm says.

Bea thinks more structurally about the situation. If a storm induced breaching of the levees, the effects will depend on which islands and how many islands are affected.

“If the islands near Suisun Bay were flooded, the saltwater intrusion would affect the water supplies for southern California, until the levees were repaired and the water from the Sacramento and San Joaquin rivers are allowed to re-establish the boundaries between fresh and saline waters,” Bea says.

[via UC Berkeley]

Photo: California Department of Water Resources

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Boonsri Dickinson

About Boonsri Dickinson

Boonsri Dickinson was a contributing editor for SmartPlanet from 2010 to 2012.

Boonsri Dickinson

Boonsri Dickinson

Contributing Editor

Boonsri Dickinson is a freelance journalist based in San Francisco. She has written for Discover, The Huffington Post, Forbes, Nature Biotech, Technewsdaily.com, Techstartups.com and AOL. She's currently a reporter for Business Insider. She holds degrees from the University of Florida and the University of Colorado at Boulder.

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Boonsri Dickinson

Boonsri Dickinson

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She writes for SmartPlanet and is not an employee of CBS.

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0 Votes
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How about this.
We knock down the levees and restore the marchland that was once the heart of the California coastal ecosystem?

Did anyone notice that Californias fishing industry collapsed because they over fished it at the same time the destroyed the breeding areas for most of fish on the lower end of the food chain?

For a state that claims to be so eco friendly they are a bunch of hypocrites.

Most of the states population exists because some ecosystem was destroyed to support more people than the area should ever support.
Posted by Hates Idiots
22nd Apr 2011
0 Votes
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RE: Earthquake could threaten California's water supply
"Chinese laborers built 4 feet high and 12 feet levees on Sherman Island"?
"the disaster could induce liquefaction by turning sand into quicksand and causing the levees to sink" Admittedly a fine distinction, but is that sink or collapse?
It's, well, idiotic, to think that a state with a diverse population of over 37 million people will be unified on ecological - or any other issue. The SoCal Metro Water District acquired the rights to Sierra water, and the Cal State Water Project was constructed to convey that water to SoCal, years before the rise of the modern environmental movement.
Posted by hoodedswan
22nd Apr 2011
0 Votes
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RE: Earthquake could threaten California's water supply
1. Wait, wait! The expert on the levees is named Cliff Dahm?
2. Yes, liquefaction actually causes stuff to sink into the ground (because the ground turns into quicksand), not just collapse.
Posted by dmm99
22nd Apr 2011
0 Votes
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RE: Earthquake could threaten California's water supply
The oft-repeated assertion that 23 million Californians, or two thirds of the state's population, relay on the Delta and Delta infrastructure for their water supply is not accurate. Calculations using figures from the Department of Water Resources show that water from the Delta makes up less than 18%, and perhaps as little as 8%, of California's water supply. Percentages vary by year, and some regions are more reliant than others, depending on whether they have access to water from other sources. Many additional Californians rely on water from the watersheds upstream of the Delta, which is a different matter altogether.

Much of the state is vulnerable to earthquakes, including regions through which transfer infrastructure carries water from the Delta to users elsewhere. The best long-term solution to this kind of vulnerability is to reduce the reliance of the whole state on water transfers.
Posted by DinahBreck
22nd Apr 2011
0 Votes
+ -
RE: Earthquake could threaten California's water supply
This article could use a little fact checking and some more research. It's more than a little disjointed.
Sherman Island has not flooded 7 times.
During its life time Sherman Island has flooded four times
1904-1906-1909-1937-1969.I l was there for the '69 flood.
A subject this complicated deseves more thorough research.
Posted by CA_Delta
23rd Apr 2011
0 Votes
+ -
RE: Earthquake could threaten California's water supply
Southern California is a DESERT and doesn't have enough water for itself, much less all the suburbs! So, what do they do? They STEAL the water from other areas, increasing the liklihood that they will dry up or "salt up" from all the irrigation.

As for earthquakes, age of the infrastructure has no bearing in this matter as a quake of sufficient strength will damage said infrastructure (water, gas, sewer, et. al) so thoroughly that all facets of life in the area will be severely and adversely affected!
Posted by JTF243@...
23rd Apr 2011
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