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Which countries will run out of food first?

By | July 28, 2012, 7:30 AM PDT

Living in a country like the U.S., where most people struggle with limiting their food consumption, it’s hard to imagine a life where you don’t even have the option of accessing enough calories for health.

But The Economist Intelligence Unit’s new Global Food Security Index makes clear the existence of that reality. It shows that in the planet’s most food-poor countries, food availability for the average inhabitant falls over 300 calories shy of the recommended daily intake of 2,300.

The five countries with the greatest calorie shortage per capita are (ranked worst to least worst):

  1. Congo (Democratic Republic)
  2. Burundi
  3. Haiti
  4. Zambia
  5. Angola
In the five countries with the greatest calorie excess the average person has over 1,300 more calories available than the recomended 2,300. Those countries are (ranked beginning with highest excess):
  1. Austria
  2. United States
  3. Greece
  4. Belgium
  5. Italy
The US, Denmark, Norway and France came out on top for the overall Food Security Index. In addition to food availability, the index ranks countries on the affordability of food, as well as its quality and safety.
Interestingly, for most countries scoring high on the food security index, micronutrient availability remained a problem. France was the only country in the top ten for the overall index that also ranked in the top ten for micronutrient availability. The weak micronutrient scores appear to primarily come from limited the availability of vegetal iron in national food supplies.

The Economist Intelligence Unit argues for optimism:

Several of the sub-Saharan African countries that finished in the bottom third of the index, including Mozambique, Ethiopia, Rwanda and Nigeria, will be among the world’s faster growing economies during the next two years. Although still poor in absolute terms, rising incomes suggest that these countries may be in a position to address food insecurity more forcefully in coming years.

However, the volatility of a growing economy can also lead to increased food access risks. If a growing economy stimulates population growth without adding to the food sector, that could drive food stores even lower. And, when some people suddenly become increasingly wealthy, it can make them more likely to demand extra food, leaving the supply for the rest of the population even weaker.

Those numbers showing that a number of countries really don’t have enough food to feed everyone made me wonder, does the world as a whole have enough food to feed everyone? According to the World Hunger Education Service’s 2012 facts, it does:

World agriculture produces 17 percent more calories per person today than it did 30 years ago, despite a 70 percent population increase.

That’s enough for feed everyone on the planet at least 2,700 calories a day. However, we still have a dire shortage of solutions for distributing those calories to the people who need them.

[via Co.Exist]

Photo: FMSC/Flickr

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Audrey Quinn

About Audrey Quinn

Audrey Quinn is a contributing editor for SmartPlanet.

Audrey Quinn

Audrey Quinn
Contributing Editor

Audrey Quinn is a multimedia science journalist based in Brooklyn, New York. She has corresponded for PRI's The World, Radiolab, Deutsche Welle's Living Planet, and a number of NPR affiliate stations. She also produces and hosts a podcast for the Mind Science Foundation. Previously, she performed neuroscience research at the University of Washington Autism Center and the Seattle VA Hospital.

Follow her on Twitter.

Audrey Quinn

Audrey Quinn

Audrey does not have financial holdings that would influence how or what she covers.

She writes for SmartPlanet and is not an employee of CBS.

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The tough reality.
All we hear is that so many people are starving now in Africa. Yet the population of Africa has increased 6 fold since WW II while the populations of the US and Europe have hardly doubled in the same time frame.

So please tell me how their food shortage it is my problem when the UN is predicting the populations of these nations will be doubling again by the years listed below?

Congo 2038
Burundi 2046
Zambia 2035
Angola 2037

I am sorry to be the cold realist here, but they are not starving as bad as you think if they are reproducing so fast as to expand the population like that.

40 years of western nation food aid and we are still being told people are starving, yet the African population continues to explode.

Are we only exasperating the eventual collapse of their entire existence by sending massive food aid now? When will the day come when the oil and gas supplied fertilizers run out in the US and elsewhere and we can no long feed these people? No one knows for sure, but many say SOON. Right now Africa has over a billion people. Will we be shutting off the food to 3 billion people by the time the oil runs out for the fertilizer?

The harsh reality brings the tough question. Should we stop sending food aid now and strictly focus on trying to teach them self sustainable farming? Should we make them feed themselves and let the population naturally stabilize? Even if it means people dying by the millions.

We are at the point where we must ask, do we act now when changes can be done humanely to wean them off food aid or do we deal with it later when the food just runs out?

Tragically, Haiti is a lost cause for many reasons.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_African_countries_by_population
Posted by Hates Idiots
Updated - 30th Jul
0 Votes
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Food First - poem for free use
First Food!

My souls secure when I must muse
how words endure from sages cues
about their insight for mans health,
which all men cite yet trade for wealth.

First commandment in all creeds
remains constant for basic needs:
no civil man forsakes the farm
that bears his bran and breeds the balm
of Ceres gift of daily bread
that all men lifts from hungers dread.

The second is like unto it:
societies that dont admit
the need for grain for all their folk,
do thus profane, and pain invoke;
for nevers man calm peace enjoyed
when food is scant and hope destroyed,
not goods nor gods, not gain nor greed
increase the odds to live and breed
if farm and food doth fail, then war
will more preclude till all are poor.

From dying lips the calls arise
for leadership to realize;
that granries filled all else secures,
that soils tilled gives arts tenure,
that civil life needs feeding first,
that crimes made rife by hungers thirst.
For tis truth yet all need examine
Lest we forget until next famine.
30 July 2010
Posted by lindsayfalvey
7th Aug
0 Votes
+ -
Food with Thought
the vast majority of population growth is in the underdeveloped countries, most Western nations are flat or even declining (Japan, Germany, Italy). These countries are least able to provide for themselves, and any intensification of agricultural production on given land requires investment and know how which they do not have. Population growth has reached critical mass, we are expecting 1 billion more people on the planet within the next 12 years, given current patterns.
I also agree with Hates, harsh as it may sound, that more food means more people in countries that do not have either an educated population or a population policy in place. That is a vicious circle no one has an answer for.
In regard to total calories produced at global level; the number is misleading. 50% of all grains are used for animal fodder. The calorie conversion rate for beef is 15:1, for pork 6:1, poultry 5:1. Also much of the food in underdeveloped countries goes to waste, between inadequate transport, storage, distribution systems.
We are now experiencing a convergence of influence factors: population growth, environmental damage (30% of greenhouse gases come from agriculture, ground water depletion), and a nutrition related health crisis. All 3 lead towards a clear path of changing diets in the developed world, and we don't know yet to what in the crisis countries.
Posted by somereasoning
11th Aug
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