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Minimizing car travel by changing how we think about development

By | June 10, 2010, 3:30 AM PDT

While it’s intuitive that sprawl leads to more miles traveled by car, solutions to the problem are somewhat less instinctive. Should we continue the push toward mixed-use development, encourage dense developments or build up near existing city centers?

A meta-analysis published recently in the Journal of the American Planning Association culls research from dozens of studies to develop a road map for planners and policy makers hoping to minimize our dependence on vehicles. I spoke last week with Reid Ewing, the study’s co-author and a professor of city and metropolitan planning at the University of Utah.

What was your study about and what was its goal?

What’s different about this particular study is that it’s the first meta-analysis.

Since about 1990, [there have been] lots of individual studies of the effect the built environment has on travel: vehicle miles traveled, walking, transit use, number of vehicle trips. There have been roughly a dozen literature reviews, but no one has until now pulled together all those studies and produced measures of effect size.

Planners for the last 40 years have been calling for mixed-use development, but we haven’t known how beneficial mixed-use development was in terms of discouraging driving and encouraging walking and transit use. The study provides an estimate [of] just how important it is to balance jobs and housing in a neighborhood, rather than having all housing or all jobs.

The study made an attempt to generalize across something like 60 individual studies. It provides measures that can be used by planners and by policy makers to evaluate development proposals, to do health impact assessments, to do climate action plans.

If California metropolitan areas, under their smart growth climate law, double the density of their regions over the next 20 years, what effect will that have on total vehicle miles and total emissions? Now there’s a convenient way of summarizing the effects. We can say with some certainty that if you double density you’ll get a five to 10 percent reduction in vehicle miles traveled.

What did you find was the best way to minimize vehicle travel?

The best way to minimize driving appears to be to develop in existing centers near the core of the metropolitan area, in areas of high destination accessibility where there are a whole lot of jobs near by. That’s the most important single factor.

We found other factors like mixed-use and intersections and block size. They fall into a second group that is less important than destination accessibility, but are more important than density. Density turns out as less important than land-use mix where shops and schools and workplaces are near to people’s homes.

If you’re trying to minimize vehicle miles traveled and maximize walking and transit, you’re better off emphasizing mixed-use and destination accessibility than just bumping up density. A dense development in the suburbs, far from transit and employment centers and stores, is probably not going to buy you much in the way of walking and transit use. Almost any development in the central city is going to be more efficient from a transportation standpoint.

What is high destination accessibility?

It means within easy driving distance of a lot of what are referred to as “trip attractions” — shopping, employment, recreational facilities. These trip attractions are often measured by the number of jobs that you can reach by car in a given travel time. That’s the most important single variable. It’s correlated with the distance from the central business district. Generally the further out you go, the lower the destination accessibility.

What should planners and policy makers be doing differently?

What we’ve been doing since World War II is promoting and encouraging urban sprawl. Urban sprawl has poor destination accessibility, low density, minimal diversity, poor design and great distance from transit.

That’s what we’ve approved and actually encouraged by subsidizing sprawl. We should be promoting just the opposite of sprawl, which is dense, diverse, with high destination accessibility due to location within the region and with ready access to transit. [But] everything kind of works against compact development.

Compact development is somewhat more expensive to do and it’s somewhat harder to do. Lenders are not as comfortable with mixed-use development. Traffic engineers tend to encourage development on the periphery on the urban area because that’s where there’s excess road capacity.

The importance of the study is that it will assist planners by allowing them to quantify the benefits of compact development.

Do you have anything else to add?

A pretty consistent picture has emerged: that sprawl is the enemy. We’re going to have to do something about it and there are lots of reform efforts occurring around the country. What we really need is something like the climate and energy bill that kind of institutionalizes compact development and encourages it across the spectrum. Right now we have a few states with growth management and a lot of states that don’t have it. What we probably need is some federal intervention.

Photo: Reid Ewing

Illustration: The Principles and Practice of New Urbanism/University of Miami School of Architecture

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Christina Hernandez Sherwood

About Christina Hernandez Sherwood

Christina Hernandez Sherwood is a contributing writer for SmartPlanet.

Christina Hernandez Sherwood

Christina Hernandez Sherwood

Contributing Writer

Christina Hernandez Sherwood has written for the Los Angeles Times, Newsday, the Philadelphia Inquirer, Diverse: Issues in Higher Education and Columbia Journalism Review. She holds degrees from the University of Delaware and Columbia University's Graduate School of Journalism. She is based in New Jersey.

Follow her on Twitter.

Christina Hernandez Sherwood

Christina Hernandez Sherwood

In the unlikely event that Christina has a professional or financial relationship with a company she writes about, it will be prominently disclosed.

She writes for SmartPlanet and is not an employee of CBS.

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While compact developments would tend to make for less travel
That is not always practical in real life. Most of us go to a work place daily or 5 days a week, etc. Not all work places are located in big cities. Many companies and even government locations move from time to time. This will still require travel as most of us do not use temporary living quarters.

Most of the time, life cannot be bundled into a convient ideal we would like. We must make decisions on conservation the best we can under the circumstances.
Posted by DadsPad
11th Jun 2010
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RE: Minimizing car travel by changing how we think about development
A good addendum to this would be to read "The Cul-De-Sac Syndrome," by John F. Wasik. Sprawl is the enemy, but we have to start somewhere to integrate workplace and living space. We are looking at a reduced standard of living where the front or back yard may not exist in urban cores, or even suburban areas. My concern is of rural areas where there are miles between towns and much agriculture.
Posted by hifired
11th Jun 2010
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The dangers of central planning
Yes, sprawl has its drawbacks. But in its time it was seen to have many desirable benefits (and still does, such as having your own piece of land or making large retailing centers with their huge economies of scale possible). In a time of cheap oil and cheap cars, it made sense. It was promoted by the brightest urban planners of the day, and considered just as "modern" as anything considered today.

I just wonder what makes the brightest urban planners of today think they know the best solution for society. As the article shows, there's not even agreement over what is the best model by current urban planners, much less faith that somehow we'll get it right this time.

And nobody has ever correctly estimated the impact of technology on urban planning. This article focused on minimizing vehicle miles, which is an issue today because of environmental concerns. But 40 years from now, electric vehicles and renewable energy developments may make that ancient history, just as cheap oil is ancient history today. In urban planning, 40 years barely makes it past the "short-term" stage (many cities had their character set a century or more ago, and many neighborhoods are 50 years or more old).

The only certainty is that any "modern" plan urban developers come up with today will be have major inadequacies in the future.
Posted by zackers
14th Jun 2010
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sprawl is good, gov't mandates are evil
Let people seek their own preferred places and ways to live. Government
planning and rent controls and in-fill regulations have caused only
suffering.
Posted by Professor8
15th Jun 2010
0 Votes
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RE: Minimizing car travel by changing how we think about development
What about disasters? And terrorism? I think this plan will not work in today's society. We need a better way to travel faster and energy efficient. We should not be all cluster together like live stocks. This creates an unhealthy environment and possesses a great danger to society.
KPG
Posted by krock196
16th Jun 2010
0 Votes
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RE: Minimizing car travel by changing how we think about development
It seems that the planners have been looking at only the current crises d'jour: miles driven, and failed to account for just about everything else, andthe problem is that some government wonk is going to pick up the study and see it as the blueprint for the future. a green no-child left behind law.

You also have to consider the negative impacts of Urban Density. Crime is higher and more serious in denser areas than in less dense areas because you have a larger number of potential victims in a smaller space, and even of the percentage of criminals per capita is steady state at 2%, they have more opportunity, so they flourish. Higher crime means higher costs: Insurance, Police, courts, lawyers, prisons, prisonn staff -- all parasitic loads on the local economy.

Secondly the increase in density historically has increased the need for additional services to be provided by the local government: well meaning people provide additional help for people in low paying jobs, and more people flock to the denser areas because of the prevalence of the freebies. Increasing the rates of unemployment, homelessness and crime. Again, the services have to be paid for by someone: typically by state subsidies that add additional parasitic loads to the residents of other municipalities or an increasing dependence on federal subsidies.

Density and centralization consolidate the power of a few over the many: waste and corruption are rampant in the larger town, city, state, and federal governments. In smaller subdivisions, at least the locals have a chance at a say in what goes on without the need for a multi-million dollar media campaign - yes sometimes idiots get elected locally but, arguably, a local idiot does less damage thana federal idiot. Additionally, with a local idiot, the courts are a recourse all the way up to the supreme court; whereas at the federal level, it's Jiminy Cricket versus Goliath.

Density increase reliance on massive energy corporations because there are far fewer opportunities for individual use of solar and wind power generation -- rather they focus on rationing through mandated conservation. Failing to grasp that at some point there will be a different energy usage floor below which any given individual cannot drop below. Determining exactly who has what floor will necessitate a massive invasion of privacy inorder to be inarbitrary or even reasonably fair. Are they going to cut off grandma's oxygen tank because it's not energy star compliant? Rather we should be focusing on decentralizing power production and supply increasing robustness and security by ensuring that there are limited or no single points of failure. The internet is robust BECAUSE it is based on decentralization. Similarly decentralization results reduced costs for individuals and the governement because there will be reduced demand for long term energy subsidies to low income individuals.

A final point is that the uber planners seem to be beholden to the belief that people migrated out of the cities in order to create sprawl, and that people who leave the cities are somehow evil. Where do the planners live and how do they make thier money? If they live in the cities, more likely than not, they live in a secured apartment building rather than a rat and raoch infested tennement. If they don't live in a city, again more likely than not, the planners probably live in properties that don't meet thier own density specifications.

In conclusion it just demonstrates that more thinking in a vacuum like this will result in more harm than good. To be taken seriously, peer review should not mean that you run things by all your freinds that agree with you looking for typographical errors. Instead, it should mean that it's been run by your most vocal critics, and survived.
Posted by VinceGlorthos
16th Jun 2010
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RE: Minimizing car travel by changing how we think about development
This is not a new idea. I have seen this in China and it works. Of course you don't have the choice of what your job is, where you live, or much of anything else. So if you don't mind being a worker ant be my guest and move to China.
Posted by luckyg
16th Jun 2010
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RE: Minimizing car travel by changing how we think about development
Not interested in increased density. What does he mean by low diversity? I already have crackheads on my street. I don't want more diversity. In the urban spawl map there, I don't know how realistic that is, but if looked at, nothing is technically too far to walk, if it is within a mile.

However, people don't have time today to walk a mile to the store (in this case the mall). And some just don't want to walk that far. It's 100 degrees F. in Dallas today. It's a choice. If I want to burn 1 or 2 ounces of fuel to go to the store and back, it is my biz.

We must defend our right to choose which items we defend as choices. that is, fight against an external limiting of choices. Our strategic decision space must not be reduced. Freedom and the American dream? right?
Posted by opcom
21st Jun 2010
0 Votes
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Glorthos
I moved to San Francisco and hated driving. I HATED life here. Then I got rid of my car, started using the local shops and both my finances and my personal experience of living in a city changed for the positive.

For all the negative commentors. Mixed us is not a dogman or decree. Its just another alternative. You are not going to be required to move or sell your home. You can keep you 4X4 with low hanging truck n*ts. I gave mine up and feel much better for it.
Posted by Bayguy
23rd Jun 2010
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