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Climate forecasts get salty with NASA’s Aquarius

By | June 6, 2011, 4:00 AM PDT

The Age of Aquarius commences this week, revealing the deep secrets of water signs. Aquarians, calm down. This isn’t astrology but climate science. On Thursday, NASA plans to launch Aquarius, a satellite that will measure salt concentrations in our oceans from space. From 408 miles above Earth, NASA and CONAE (Argentina’s space agency) hope to suss out interactions between ocean circulation and precipitation, information that could help fill in some gaps for climate models.

The relationship between the sea and climate is a salty one. In a state of constant flux, the upper layer of the ocean continuously transfers heat and freshwater with the air above it. Freshwater moves in via stormy weather, melting glaciers, and rivers and moves out through evaporation and big freezes. Every week for the next three years, Aquarius will keep close account of these exchanges within the water cycle.

This is no easy task considering sea surface salinity varies just between 32 and 37 parts per thousand. Salt comprises just around 3.5 percent of the world’s oceans. But just a dash here and a dash there goes a long way. Cooler, saltier water sinks, helping to drive circulation at the lower levels of the sea. These deep ocean currents, such the Gulf Stream, transfer heat across the globe and influence climate.

According to NASA, Aquarius will be able to detect changes in salinity as tiny as about one-eighth of a teaspoon of salt in a gallon of water.

Researchers have typically employed buoys, boats and aircraft to do this. Now over the ice-free surfaces of the ocean, Aquarius will pick up on the seawater’s weak microwave radiation to determine an area’s salt concentrations. NASA will then compare data with ARGO, a network of buoys that takes only deep-sea salinity measurements (right), and the European Space Agency’s SMOS satellite that launched in 2009.

Gary Lagerloef, the mission’s lead investigator from the Earth and Space Research laboratory in Seattle, in a statement:

We’ll see the ocean in a whole different light. When the first Earth science satellites launched in the 1970s, we saw ocean eddies for the first time and got our first glimpse of the tremendous turbulence of the ocean. With Aquarius, we’re going to see things we don’t currently see. It’s as though the blinders will be removed from our eyes.

Related on SmartPlanet:

Images: NASA and NASA/Goddard Space Flight Center Scientific Visualization Studio

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Melissa Mahony

About Melissa Mahony

Melissa Mahony was a contributing editor for SmartPlanet from 2010 to 2011.

Melissa Mahony

Melissa Mahony

Contributing Editor

Melissa Mahony has written for Scientific American Mind, Audubon Magazine, Plenty Magazine and LiveScience. Formerly, she was an editor at Wildlife Conservation magazine. She holds degrees from Boston College and New York University's Science, Health, and Environmental Reporting Program. She is based in New York.

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Melissa Mahony

Melissa Mahony

Melissa does not have financial holdings that would influence how or what she covers. She currently works for the Wildlife Conservation Society as an editor. Should Melissa cover a topic in which the WCS is involved, she will disclose this fact in her writing.

She writes for SmartPlanet and is not an employee of CBS.

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-1 Votes
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Lots of questions about report and data accuracy.
Actually sea water varies for 0 to up to 40+ parts per thousand depending on where you read it and the influences involved. Open ocean water may only vary 32-37, but most text books reference 35 ppt as the average.

"According to NASA, Aquarius will be able to detect changes in salinity as tiny as about one-eighth of a teaspoon of salt in a gallon of water." Why not use parts per thousand since that is how seawater salinity is generally measured - after all this isn't a recipe on the food channel?

Secondly, according the NASA report the satellite will only be reading surface salinities? Won't the amount of mixing, upwelling, general current activity, and wave action influence the microwave radiation being read, not to mention air spray and moisture levels - and produce questionable data regarding the actual surface salinity, as opposed to what is being brought to the surface with various forms of turbulence? If the turbulence in an area is unknown, how will that be sorted out of the surface salinity? Seems to be of rather limited stand alone use to me, requiring a huge amount of interpretation - something that already plagues climatology credibility.
Posted by dduggerbiocepts
6th Jun 2011
+1 Vote
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That's why they go through a calibration phase first
As mentioned in the article, they'll use ARGO, SMOS and other in-situ and remote data to calibrate their observations, presumably to distinguish precisely comes from upwelling, spray, turbulence, how the data ties into the deep currents and surface morphology, etc. This calibration is exactly how modelling is built up to more and more accurately backcast known collected data before even trying to forecast. These models will then no doubt be integrated into existing sea surface temps and ocean heat models, improving the climatological dynamics picture.

True, we have "miles to go before we sleep" but look how far we've come and how useful this data will become in our ever-increasing abilities to understand the planetary picture.
Posted by klassman6
6th Jun 2011
0 Votes
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Calibration to surface or the stratified layers just beneath.
Calibration I think would only work if the readings are from a homogeneous mass of water. If the area being read is not homogeneous as is the case where fresh water and sea water come together where frequently the fresh water overlays the seawater especially near coastlines, calibration to surface salinity isn't going to be representative of anything but the surface. Since freshwater overlays may vary from a few inches to many feet, what specifically are going to learn about the seawater beneath? You will still only read the surface while the heavier unmixed salt water beneath may be dramatically different in salinity. We see the conditions commonly along the coast of Florida. Reading surface salinities might represent an area of tremendous freshwater inflow, or it may represent an area of freshwater overlay, with seawater salinities just beneath - how will you know. I'm all for new technology, but it seems you have some solid physical limitations that you are up against with this technology.
Posted by dduggerbiocepts
6th Jun 2011
0 Votes
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Scientists generally know what they're doing.
Do you really think the scientists involved are unaware of the issues you raise? If you think that then you should get in touch with them and ask them about it.
Posted by riverat1
8th Jun 2011
0 Votes
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calibration to both the surface and deeper layers
ARGO gives them deeper salinity layers so they'll be able to study the relationship between the surface and deeper layers, developing a better understanding of circulation and upwelling dynamics. Current buoy measurements both surface and deeper, give them calibration points to refine what they are seeing--this is standard remote sensing processes just like with any other wavelength, whether it be for vegetation, temps, topography, water vapor, etc.

Seems like you know quite a bit about some of the dynamics involved; why don't you check out the www.aquarius.gsfc.nasa.gov website, contact them and find out more? Who knows? Maybe you could go to a conference and maybe see if you'd like to pursue remote sensing as a career?
Posted by klassman6
8th Jun 2011
0 Votes
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Climate Prediction(dot)Net
http://climateprediction(dot)net/
IMHO, a very worth-while project, of which I am a very small contributor. (at this writing, contributing 243.53 quadrillion floating-point operations). It by-passes Politics and Speculation, approching "Climate Change" from a scientific annalysis.
"Are you a scientist interested in using the data? Our data portal can be found here."
https://results(dot)cpdn(dot)org/
Posted by Don Dewiel
14th Jun 2011
+1 Vote
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There's an interesting piece on Aquarius
....and how it fits into global modeiling:
http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2011/06/the-age-of-aquarius/#more-7904
Posted by klassman6
13th Jun 2011
0 Votes
+ -
Climate Prediction(dot)Net
http://climateprediction(dot)net/
IMHO, a very worth-while project, of which I am a very small contributor. (at this writing, contributing 243.53 quadrillion floating-point operations). It by-passes Politics and Speculation, approching "Climate Change" from a scientific annalysis.
"Are you a scientist interested in using the data? Our data portal can be found here."
https://results(dot)cpdn(dot)org/
Posted by Don Dewiel
14th Jun 2011
0 Votes
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How reliable will the data be?
Using NASA satellite data a group of scientists came out in 2008 saying that global temperatures were actually dropping. The global warming crowd pulled them apart like rabid dogs on a deer.

They had 101 excuses for why the satellite data was unreliable.
Posted by Hates Idiots
17th Jun 2011
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