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Someday, the Internet as we know it will seem old-fashioned

By | May 26, 2011, 9:16 PM PDT

Someday, the way we use the Web and Internet will seem quaint and old-fashioned.

Just as AOL’s or CompuServe’s dial-up service were once cutting-edge gateways to the online life.  Or client/server connections between mainframes and PCs — with not-so-graphical interfaces mimicking the mainframe’s “green screen” inside a PC DOS screen — were at the forefront of a technology revolution.

Lynn St. Amour, President and CEO of the Internet Society, spoke to FastCompany’s David Zax about the way the online world may look 25 years down the road. By then, it may be hard to believe we only accessed the Internet in a one-dimensional way through a computer screen.

Instead, we may be calling the Internet from up our sleeves, St. Amour predicts:

” Today, our experience is we pick up a device, a phone, and so on. In the future, there won’t have to be that second step–it will just be with us at all times… Literally we will be checking email by looking down at our sleeve, maybe touching part of the sleeve, or possibly blinking our eyes. The user interface will be much more seamless… I think the ability to call up the Internet on any surface that’s in front of us–our sleeve, the back of our hands, the back of the seat in front of us–a lot of those technologies actually exist today, but just are not at the right cost points.”

The Internet will be ubiquitous to the point where it connects devices, objects, appliances, vehicles, and everything else all around us. St. Amour cautions, however, that “some social and cultural acclimatization” will need to happen to prepare society for such pervasiveness.

Don’t expect the Internet itself to change much over the next 25 years, however. “We won’t be scrapping this Internet for many, many decades,” she point out. “That’s not to say there won’t be other Internets or other structures that both build on and evolve from this one. The Internet is basically a series of building blocks that allow future Internets and future applications.”

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Joe McKendrick

About Joe McKendrick

Joe McKendrick is a contributing editor for SmartPlanet.

Joe McKendrick

Joe McKendrick

Contributing Editor, Business

Joe McKendrick is an independent analyst who tracks the impact of information technology on management and markets. He is the author of the SOA Manifesto and has written for Forbes, ZDNet and Database Trends & Applications. He holds a degree from Temple University. He is based in Pennsylvania.

Follow him on Twitter.

Joe McKendrick

Joe McKendrick

Joe McKendrick is an independent consultant and editor. Joe has performed project work for the following companies in the IT marketspace: IBM, Systinet/HP, Teradata. He has performed project work for the following organizations in partnership with Unisphere Research (Unisphere Media): IBM, Oracle Corp., International Oracle Users Group, Oracle Applications Users Group, Professional Association for SQL Server, International DB2 Users Group, International Sybase Users Group.

He writes for SmartPlanet and is not an employee of CBS.

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+1 Vote
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And we'll have flying cars, too!
I'm still waiting for the flying cars that were predicted, oh, I don't know, in the 1950's maybe?

"Call up the internet on any surface that's in front of us"? What does that even mean?

Pure science fiction.
Posted by patrickatwood@...
27th May 2011
+2 Votes
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Re:Flying Cars
Flying cars have been available for about 7 years now. There are a few problems though. The cars travel about 250 MPH, and get about 18 MPG. Cost is around $500 Thousand. There is a several year waiting list, and you need a pilots license. Oh, they are very loud. (8 turbine engines) They are a violation of most cities noise ordinances. Those are the reasons you can't find them most of the time.

Ground cruise speed without turbines is around 35 MPH. Limited range. With the turbines, the sky's the limit. VTOL, and push on the ground are both options.

The developers are pushing for an expanded air traffic control system (ATC), and autopilots rated for takeoff, cruise and landing, as well as a limited pilots license. The car's computer would actually fly the thing. The FAA is trying to get the new ATC, but can't get the funding. the rest is on hold until ATC is available.

You'll probably have a robot driven car before there will be a flying car that anyone but a licensed and recognized test pilot can use.
Posted by YetAnotherBob
27th May 2011
+1 Vote
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No Duh article.
Someone isn't doing their home work. This is far from futuristic - available in the market place today. Numbers of companies are now using pico-projector to project computer rendered displays on essentially any highly reflective or reactive surfaces. I own stock in one of the leading companies in this technology.

http://www.microvision.com/showwx/.

They recently sold one of their pico-projector systems to one of the leading smart phone producers. One more blur between the smart phone and the lap top.

Personally I think pico-projector like devices will ultimately replace all the current displays on computers. In the worst case you might have to find a piece of paper to project on if there are nothing but dark surfaces around. Since it's also possible to project a functional key board - the technology can reduce the size of a high capacity computer to something smaller than current smart phones, and with cloud technology you could have more computing capacity than our most capable laptops today. I don't mention desk tops, because... well because most tech people now consider them extinct.


http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Handheld_projector
Posted by dduggerbiocepts
Updated - 27th May 2011
+1 Vote
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The Internet Is Being Replaced Right Now.
The Author misses a few things. The marvelous things mentioned are just new application. The conclusion though, is wrong. The internet will not be the same. It is being replaced right now. The current internet is based on IPV4, which gives around 4 Billion internet locations. Those can be extended by routing what is essentially a miniature internet through one address. (NAT). The new Internet, which has been planed for around 10 years now, uses IPV6, which allows around 16 X 10^18 addresses.

The world is already using most of the old internet addresses, and will probably run out of new addresses by the end of the year. There is an experiment to see how the transition to the new internet will go that is scheduled for this summer. We will probably have to buy new routers and wifi base stations. The computers made in the last 5 years or so can receive both the Internets. Though how well they do it is still a bit vague.

For the rest, this change should be enough for earth surface networking. But, as we expand, there will be a need for yet another internet. NASA is close to having that interplanetary internet functional.

So, while the Author assumes that the devices will change, while the underlying network won't. The truth is that the underlying network is changing quite rapidly right now. Meanwhile, the demands of more speed and more computer power needing more data will continue. The Internet providers will continue to replace and upgrade the infrastructure. It still won't be enough.

I am amused by the constant droning of those who think that wireless will be the answer. The cellular networks are really a very limited resource. Each tower has only a few hundred megabits per second capacity. The data capacity is limited by both range and frequency channel. They are already using some very sophisticated technology to serve hundreds of people from each tower. The future for them is to have many more towers. Cities try to limit the numbers of towers. In large cities, the current coverage may be the best it will ever be.

However, the future devices will connect to an internet of some sort. It will be just a question of getting enough packets. After all, the Internet is just a system of routing packets of data through a network. But, I believe that for the future, range will be short for wireless, and most of the traffic will be carried by fiber. The question may well be "What do you mean I can only get 500 MBPS?"
Posted by YetAnotherBob
27th May 2011
+1 Vote
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Waste of my time
I feel cheated; that some of my valuable time was stolen. This article is about as vapid as they get. Somebody above said we have this right now. Correct. I have a little chips embedded in my armpits that keep me informed of my BO. Also, I have TV sets sewn into the backs of my eyelids so all I have to do to watch Avatar in 3D is to close my eyes.
Posted by dangnad
28th May 2011
+1 Vote
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Sheesh!
Agreed, this was a waste of time. I hate even writing this to complain. New devices and methods to access information are a no-brainer. Yes, Mr. Still-Waiting-for-Flying-Cars, these things will, indeed, happen. Many of the above are already in development (and don't need a crystal ball to prognosticate). The concept of the Internet will remain, but there will be, no doubt, new technologies - such as the recently-announced single-laser transmission method - that will transform what and how we're able to get what we do *from* the Internet. A little more discretion, please, when trying to fill space for deadlines.
Posted by Lucky2BHere
28th May 2011
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